Moody’s vs UNCTAD: India’s 2025 GDP Growth Forecasts
Why in the news
Moody’s and UNCTAD differed on India’s 2025 growth: tariff worries versus domestic resilience.
Key facts
| Agency | India 2025 forecast |
|---|---|
| Moody’s Ratings (“Tariffs and Trade Turmoil”) | 5.5% to 6.5% |
| Moody’s Analytics | 6.1% |
| UNCTAD | 6.5% |
- Moody’s flags US tariffs (10% universal, 145% on China) stalling investment; gems and jewellery, medical devices and textiles are most exposed.
- UNCTAD cites public capital spending and the first RBI rate cut in five years (25 bps, early February 2025).
Significance
- India stays a relative outperformer in a slowing world.