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16th Finance Commission: Horizontal Devolution and State Finances

28 February 20261 min read
ECONOMY16th FinanceCommission: HorizontalDevolution and StateFinances28 February 2026safalsetu.com

Why in the news

The Sixteenth Finance Commission changed how tax proceeds are split among states while the Union-to-states share stayed put, raising worries for some states.

Key concepts

  • Vertical devolution: Union tax share going to all states together.
  • Horizontal devolution: split of that share among states by population, income and fiscal performance.

Winners and losers

GroupStates
Bigger shareAndhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Haryana, Karnataka, Kerala, Punjab
Smaller shareArunachal Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal

Concerns

  • States with debt-to-GSDP above 30-40% see slow or falling devolution, and some also rely heavily on transfers.
  • Union’s “challenge mode” funding gives limited money competitively: encourages efficiency, but leaves weaker states uncertain.

Fiscal targets

  • Union deficit: 4.4% to 3.5% by 2030-31.
  • States: 3% of GDP, strictly enforced under Article 293(3).

Test yourself

1. What did the Sixteenth Finance Commission keep unchanged while revising the formula among states?

Vertical devolution remains unchanged.

2. By 2030-31, the Sixteenth Finance Commission expects the Union fiscal deficit to fall to what level?

It is to fall from 4.4% in 2025-26 to 3.5% by 2030-31.

3. Which Article is cited for strict enforcement of the 3% of GDP fiscal deficit expectation for states?

Article 293(3) governs the strict enforcement.