RBI’s Expected Credit Loss Model Replaces Incurred Loss
Why in the news
RBI wants scheduled commercial banks to recognise credit stress early rather than after losses occur.
Incurred loss versus ECL
| Point | Incurred loss | ECL |
|---|---|---|
| Timing | Provision after a loss event | Provision for expected future losses |
| Weakness or strength | Late stress signals, shocks amplified | Spots NPAs before default, builds buffers |
| Inputs | Actual defaults | PD, EAD, LGD, continuously updated |
Benefits
- Early recognition, proactive risk management and resilience.
- Matches IFRS 9 and Basel III.
Implications
- Better data analytics needed; short-term provisions may rise and trim profits.
- Promotes prudent lending.
Exam angle
- Parameters: PD, EAD, LGD.