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Moody’s Cuts India FY27 Growth Forecast to 6%

7 April 20261 min read
ECONOMYMoody’s Cuts IndiaFY27 GrowthForecast to 6%7 April 2026safalsetu.com

Why in the news

The US-based rating agency Moody’s trimmed its outlook for the Indian economy, blaming the continuing West Asia conflict.

Key facts

  • FY27 GDP growth forecast: 6%, down from 6.8% estimated earlier.
  • Reason: the ongoing West Asia conflict.
  • Current Account Deficit: down to 0.4% in 2025.
  • Inflation: seen averaging 4.8% over the next fiscal year.
  • The agency still described the manufacturing sector as a strong growth driver.
IndicatorMoody’s figure
FY27 growth6% (earlier 6.8%)
Current account deficit, 20250.4%
Average inflation, next fiscal year4.8%

Exam angle

  • Agency: Moody’s, an American rating agency.
  • Numbers to remember: 6%, 6.8%, 0.4%, 4.8%.
  • Possible question: which event led to the growth downgrade? Answer: the West Asia conflict.

Test yourself

1. Moody's revised India's FY27 GDP growth forecast to what figure, down from 6.8%?

The notes record a downgrade to 6% from 6.8%.

2. What reason did Moody's give for lowering its FY27 growth forecast for India?

The downgrade was attributed to the ongoing West Asia conflict.

3. What current account deficit figure for 2025 did Moody's note for India?

The deficit narrowed to 0.4%; 4.8% was the projected average inflation.