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ADB Cuts India’s FY26 GDP Forecast to 6.5%

2 October 20251 min read
ECONOMYADB Cuts India’sFY26 GDP Forecastto 6.5%2 October 2025safalsetu.com

Why in the news

ADB lowered its projections for India, mainly because of steep US tariffs.

Key facts

  • Hit sectors: textiles, garments, jewellery, shrimp, chemicals; services exports stay strong.
  • Consumption should firm up on cheaper food and tax cuts; public investment helps.
  • Developing Asia: 4.8% for 2025 and 4.5% for 2026.

Revisions

MeasureEarlierNow
India FY26 growth6.7%6.5%
India FY27 growth6.8%6.5%
Inflation FY26–3.1%
Inflation FY27–4.2%

Exam angle

  • Institution: Asian Development Bank.
  • Know the figures 6.7% to 6.5%.

Test yourself

1. By how much did the ADB project India's growth for 2025-26 after its downgrade?

The ADB cut India's FY26 growth projection from 6.7% to 6.5%.

2. In its outlook, what did the ADB name as the main reason for lowering India's FY26 growth estimate?

The cut was mainly due to 50% US tariffs on Indian goods.

3. What FY27 inflation figure did the ADB project for India?

FY26 inflation was set at 3.1% and FY27 at 4.2% as food prices normalise.