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RBI Growth Forecast 7.4% for 2025-26, Rates Unchanged

7 February 20261 min read
ECONOMYRBI GrowthForecast 7.4% for2025-26, RatesUnchanged7 February 2026safalsetu.com

Why in the news

India’s central bank upgraded its growth outlook for the current financial year to 7.4% and left its policy interest rates unchanged.

Key facts

  • Real GDP growth projection for 2025-26: now 7.4 percent, revised upward.
  • Policy stance on rates: held steady, with no change announced.
  • Reasoning: the central bank sees durable domestic demand as a strength.
  • Headwinds on the external side: uncertainty in global trade and volatility in financial markets.

Significance

  • A higher projection shows the RBI is optimistic about internal consumption despite a cloudy global picture.
  • Keeping rates unchanged shows a cautious approach while growth remains resilient.

Exam angle

  • Figure to remember: 7.4% real GDP growth for 2025-26.
  • Decision type: status quo on interest rates.
  • Institution: Reserve Bank of India, the central bank.

Test yourself

1. The RBI raised its real GDP growth projection for 2025-26 to what level?

The notes state the projection was lifted to 7.4 percent.

2. What did the RBI do with interest rates at the policy meeting where it upgraded its growth forecast?

Rates were kept steady even as the projection was raised.

3. Which domestic factor did the RBI's upgraded 2025-26 growth projection signal confidence in?

The upgrade signalled confidence in the durability of domestic demand.