Union Budget 2025-26: Tax Growth, Inflation and PSU Sales
Why in the news
Post-Budget 2025-26 views covered tax growth, inflation, PSU sales and revenue confidence.
Key facts
- Income-tax target: 14.4% growth versus nominal GDP growth of 10.1%.
- Direct taxes: 12.5% growth projected through efficient administration and voluntary compliance.
- Past income-tax growth: 19.7% in FY23, 25% in FY24, about 20% expected in FY25, so the target looks moderate.
- Inflation: tax relief is not seen as inflationary since prices reflect scarce supply; it should boost savings, investment and consumption.
- Non-tax revenue goals expected to be met; oil PSU profitability not a major worry as oil prices stay subdued.
Concerns: PSU privatisation
- Plan: list PSUs, then cut the state stake to 51% through minority sales.
- Buyers shun firms with large land and legacy liabilities, such as Bharat Earth Movers in Bengaluru; real estate must be separated first.
- Slower than routes like NCLT or other funds.
Exam angle
- Income-tax growth target: 14.4%; nominal GDP 10.1%.
- Stake level in gradual disinvestment: 51%.